tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8794218664228529106.post8068948720287493467..comments2022-03-27T03:34:40.727-04:00Comments on The Art of Contrarian Trading: China Bubble RevisitedCarl Futiahttp://www.blogger.com/profile/01624989905417650273noreply@blogger.comBlogger9125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8794218664228529106.post-25853117631293832902010-05-26T10:19:16.902-04:002010-05-26T10:19:16.902-04:00Greetings, for the last couple of hours I've b...Greetings, for the last couple of hours I've been searching about China Bubble Revisited and finally I stumble into your blog, it has great info on what I'm looking and is going to be quite useful on my paperwork for the university. <br />BTW is amazing how many <a href="http://www.safemeds.com/" rel="nofollow">generic viagra</a> blogs I manage to dodge in order to get the right site and the right information...lol<br />Thanks for the post and have a nice dayAnonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8794218664228529106.post-49686889554166443362009-08-20T04:02:18.296-04:002009-08-20T04:02:18.296-04:00Nasdaq went up 35% in the summer of 2000, after ha...Nasdaq went up 35% in the summer of 2000, after having fallen 35% from the top. Couldn't be a bubble.Nilspirathttps://www.blogger.com/profile/06055077721366719578noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8794218664228529106.post-6928818204553664562009-08-20T00:12:53.974-04:002009-08-20T00:12:53.974-04:00...lots of current bears want a chance to be heroe...<em>...lots of current bears want a chance to be heroes - in retrospect they see how they could have easily handled the 2007-08 bear market in the Shanghai composite if only they had seen it coming. They want to fight the last war because it looks easy in retrospect.</em><br /><br />Nicely put. I hear a lot of bears complaining about all the bulls, but I see few bulls. All over the blogs I see almost nothing but bears.<br /><br />Yet, historically, an uptern of the 200d SMA is very bullish in the short to medium term. And when bears start trotting out the experience of 1929-30: they have to go back 80 years to find a counter example? Yes, a replay of the awful Great Depression could happen, but it's not likely. Historical probability is not always correct (that's why it's probability, not certainty), but I would rather be on the side of probability than fighting against it. As Damon Runyon said, "The race is not always to the swift nor the battle to the strong, but that's the way to bet."Unknownhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/07596083505550931603noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8794218664228529106.post-70171701361555964492009-08-19T22:19:56.595-04:002009-08-19T22:19:56.595-04:00Very good observations. I think the best analogue...Very good observations. I think the best analogue is the 1937 crash to the year 2008 crash. A large rally is due / happening, but do we see a 1942 equivalent low? ie: year 2012 - 2013.qhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/04765040238539117221noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8794218664228529106.post-72192720298765481452009-08-19T17:17:32.718-04:002009-08-19T17:17:32.718-04:00In 1930, the Dow retraced 50%. No bubble, says Car...In 1930, the Dow retraced 50%. No bubble, says Carl.Nilspirathttps://www.blogger.com/profile/06055077721366719578noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8794218664228529106.post-9425159707953041452009-08-19T15:05:51.394-04:002009-08-19T15:05:51.394-04:00Appreciate your posts and love your book.
I was wo...Appreciate your posts and love your book.<br />I was wondering, why a similar logic wouldn't apply to the dollar. <br /><br />The dollar has been in a bear market for 8 years now. It has then rallied for 8 months. There are still folks on TV, media calling for replacing the dollar.Clarkehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/08558630885926430959noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8794218664228529106.post-70722267945526378932009-08-19T14:29:23.564-04:002009-08-19T14:29:23.564-04:00I've purchased your book from my favorite onli...I've purchased your book from my favorite online bookstore tower.com. I'm anxious to read it. I am grateful I found you several months back wished I would have discovered you sooner, but I feel very fortunate to be able to read your opinions. Thank you for sharing your expertise, opinions and insight, I hope you are right!Janet Bakerhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/04677475520204783615noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8794218664228529106.post-28109909341627101502009-08-19T14:10:41.112-04:002009-08-19T14:10:41.112-04:00Great post! Me Chinese fully agree with you. Do yo...Great post! Me Chinese fully agree with you. Do you think Shanghai index is going to fill the gap of end of the May? <br />By the way, your comment matchs the HongKong famous veteran's view, he consider China is like HongKong in 70's which has a very bright perspective for another 10 years.siteownerhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01668487658555571581noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8794218664228529106.post-71416617008830001312009-08-19T13:22:58.943-04:002009-08-19T13:22:58.943-04:00Interesting prespective. Its nice to read another ...Interesting prespective. Its nice to read another point of view. Enjoy both your blogs.Anonymoushttps://www.blogger.com/profile/04074064278356229836noreply@blogger.com