tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8794218664228529106.post89388666022368467..comments2022-03-27T03:34:40.727-04:00Comments on The Art of Contrarian Trading: Blood in the water?Carl Futiahttp://www.blogger.com/profile/01624989905417650273noreply@blogger.comBlogger4125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8794218664228529106.post-14495350900020292852010-06-05T21:28:01.776-04:002010-06-05T21:28:01.776-04:00Carl, if I may contribute some rare(ish) data... p...Carl, if I may contribute some rare(ish) data... please check adv/decl issues up/down vol. From Friday's close advance issues has never been this low in 18 years. Up volume has been this low on monthly basis only in 1998 (asian/mexican/russian/LTC) crises. These charts indicate we could be close to an inflection point. After such point, in 1998, markets moved 50% to the upside in 16 months. History rhymes... sometime.guyhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/11696580404126636541noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8794218664228529106.post-63020818630354819722010-06-01T12:33:15.431-04:002010-06-01T12:33:15.431-04:00Carl,
When there is a negative news headline, you ...Carl,<br />When there is a negative news headline, you take it as contrarian to justify your bullish stance but when there is bullish news headline on the front cover, you say it is NOT contrarian...Rajeev Bharolhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/03264770372242389777noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8794218664228529106.post-88512993409110162752010-06-01T11:51:02.964-04:002010-06-01T11:51:02.964-04:00VS, in my opinion happen the next.
At this stage ...VS, in my opinion happen the next.<br /><br />At this stage fo the market you don´t need 99% of people with a negative view, but most of the people and in general term "escepticism".<br /><br />The 8th march mood is not gonna happen now, cause the market is not the same.<br /><br />Is true I detected some optimism between a few investors, but much more pesimism between the most of them. Also these days we read a lot of bad news, selling recomendations, panic for some moments and negative coments from readers in the online newspapers.<br /><br />ONe example this one: http://www.marketwatch.com/story/crash-is-dead-ahead-sell-get-liquid-now-2010-05-25<br /><br />Also, in these day you will read recomendations for sell from a lot of hedge fund managers, managers who the online newspapers take care to put them in the cover.anonimoXXXhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/15455664336021908213noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8794218664228529106.post-28618376486089503882010-06-01T11:25:35.089-04:002010-06-01T11:25:35.089-04:00I would say the contrarian view of in these market...I would say the contrarian view of in these markets is to sell and go short.<br /><br />Whatever be the noise in the market, the bulk of investor public is still happy and wearing rose tinted glasses. They seem to be content with their investments and are not pulling out en-masse from the markets.<br /><br />They still trust that their governments will some how get them out of the mess of massive debts. <br /><br />They still seem to complain when someone reminds them to control the consumption and save for future.<br /><br />I would say the herd is still on the long side and contrarian should be looking at opportunities to sell for long term.<br /><br />vs-trader.blogspot.comvs_traderhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/09847146620532403172noreply@blogger.com